Netanyahu has Played the West and it Risks a Global Chain Reaction

Former diplomat Alexandra Hall Hall on what the international responses to this week's attacks by Iran and Israel tells us about the real global balance of power

Perhaps it’s because I have only recently seen the film, Oppenheimer, but my immediate thought when I heard the news about Iran’s drone and missile attack on Israel, was to fear the triggering of an unstoppable chain reaction, whereby Israel would respond with devastating force, compelling Iran in turn to launch another round of attacks, resulting in an ever-escalating series of exchanges which ultimately result in catastrophe.  

Just like in the film, it’s obvious from how both sides have handled their first direct exchanges, that neither side wants to slide into a full-blown conflict, especially given that both countries possess nuclear capabilities. Iran’s unprecedented assault on Israel was well telegraphed in advance, allowing Israel and its allies to prepare and successfully intercept most missiles.

Likewise, Israel’s response on 18 April was limited in scope. Both actions were more symbolic than real – sending a signal to each other that they each had the capacity to strike within each other’s territory and cause real harm if sufficiently provoked, but deliberately falling short of causing significant actual damage.    

Yet, the dangers of miscalculation remain.